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Geography · Economics · Visualization

Springsteen in the USA: 40 Years of Touring as a Study in Spatial Diffusion

 

There’s no more persuasive evidence that we’re in the twilight of the “Rock Star” than its appropriation by the tech sector to mean little more than someone with a penchant for wearing black and an inflated self-regard. But there are still a few true rock stars still plying their craft, including Bruce Springsteen who, in his 40th year touring as a major-label artist, is criss-crossing the US in support Wrecking Ball, his latest record, album, melange of mp3 tracks.

Though Kennedy Center honors and long New Yorker profiles threaten to enbalm him in Icon Emeritus status, the current 3½ hour shows he’s doing now are as much about the loud, vital present as reflections on the passage of the decades. As a geographer, 1500+ shows over 40 years is an opportunity to map Springsteen’s career as a study in spatial diffusion–how phenomena such as innovation, fashion, or disease spread geographically.  Except in this case the contagion is rock ‘n roll:

 

YouTube Preview Image

 

To understand what you’re seeing in the YouTube video above, keep the following in mind:

  • each red dot is a performance (data courtesy of the Killing Floor database)
  • the intensity or “heat” generated is a function of the location of a show, the size of the venue, and inversely correlated with the overall population within 40km of the concert location. So for instance, a single arena show in New York City will generate less heat than a single arena show in Omaha, NE
  • there is a tapering effect applied so returning to a particular area within a few months will reflect a cumulative heat effect (**Click here for interactive map version)

Here are some of the things I observe–

Two Advantages of Starting Out in Central New Jersey

From strictly a population geography standpoint, in the early 1970s you couldn’t do better than being equidistant between New York City (largest city) and Philadelphia (#4): over 20 million souls within a two-hour drive.  Just as important, the Jersey Shore provided a unique, accessible symbolic resonance to audiences that resonates as a Place.  (In stark contrast to the way a million bands from Brooklyn today fail to convince the rest of us of the intrinsic awesomeness of…Brooklyn.)

How To Go Viral In the Pre-Internet Era

The persistence of Springsteen’s popularity along the I-95/I-80 axes has its origin in racking up serious mileage on the college gym circuit (Stony Brook, Grinnell, Niagara, Widener, et al).  In larger cities, as was more of the custom back in the day, he often played a couple a shows a night for multiple nights in a row.  Think of the difference in the word-of-mouth impact when someone gushes over an unknown act they saw the night before:  today you might file it away and hope to catch them the next time they’re in town months down the road, back then he was still around playing shows for the rest of the week.

And if you’re staking the success of your band on the power of your live show don’t be the opening act.  Better to headline a smaller venue than to tag along as the opener in a larger venue.

**Click image above to launch interactive Google map

 

Big Hits Trigger Hierarchical Diffusion

We can see both on the map, as well as record sales, three notable inflection points in Springsteen’s career:

  1. “Born To Run” in 1975 was the spring-board to being a truly national, with the follow-on records “Darkness..” and “The River” consolidating his status as a successful arena act.
  2. “Born in The USA” in 1984 was his monster disc where you see the clearest distinction between ordinary expansion diffusion and hierarchical diffusion, where a mass phenomenon readily hops among large population concentrations less impeded by mere distance.
  3. “The Rising” in 2002 saw the combination of very strong new material and the pent-up demand for a recently-reunited E Street Band result in a strong slate of both arena shows as well as stadium dates.  It also added a younger cohort of fans to the ever-loyal “base” that have made successive tours more vibrant than mere exercises in Baby Boomer nostalgia.

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In the broader context of 500 years of a Western culture becoming  ever more individualistic, its major creeds increasingly more domesticated, the rock concert as an intense celebration of communal emotion is an echo of a type of religious expression many, many centuries old.  Indeed, what was following the Grateful Dead or Phish from city-to-city other than a contemporary analog of medieval pilgrimage?  Only from the cramped perspective of pop culture’s fixation on youth is a Bruce Springsteen or Leonard Cohen (77 years old and still doing four-encore 2½ hour shows) commanding the stage an oddity: our ancient forebears would immediately recognize that it’s the wise-man/shaman/entertainer who is best equipped to channel both what the audience wants to hear and what it needs to hear.

—Brian Timoney

UPDATE (9/14/2012): Nice shout-out from the Washington Post Wonkblog.

 

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CREDITS:
Daniel Trone created the animated heat map. Details about making the map here

Tour dates courtesy of Paolo Calvi’s Killing Floor database

10th Avenue Freeze-out background track courtesy of this

And a special shout-out to my sister Judy who took the teenaged me to my first Springsteen show at The Spectrum in Philadelphia and treated the 40-year old me 25 years later to the very top row of Giants Stadium.

The Tired Debate About Open-Source-in-the-Enterprise Dies an Overdue Death

The obituary appeared in the Wall Street Journal this week (ungated link).

And the lead sentence is all you need to read:

The use of open-source software is becoming more prevalent at big companies for reasons including ease of innovation and cutting the time to get products to market.

 

Done.

No mention of “free” or condescending references to “hackers” and “spare time”.

If you still need Fortune 10 validation, check out this quote from a General Electric VP–

Our goal is not to use open source. Our goal is to be able to develop applications in a three-to-five month time frame…

 

In an increasingly competitive marketplace, organizations of all sizes are now appreciating the high cost of waiting around for entrenched software vendors to innovate.

 

—Brian Timoney

The Delusional Job Ad That Reveals What’s Wrong With GIS

As a consultant always keeping one eye on the horizon for the next gig (*cough*), I reconnoiter the industry job ads to get a sense of what skills are hot, where the demand is, and what companies are hiring. Especially for programmer/developer jobs, many of these ads are little more than HR cut-and-paste jobs culled from past departmental postings, RFPs, and whatever new acronym some “non-technical” manager picked up from the latest issue of ArcNews.

But every now and then I come across a posting so transcending the genre with Cluelessness and Fail that it merits close examination for laying bare larger Truths about the GIS industry that usually go unspoken.

Behold this ad for “SR.GIS APPLICATIONS DEVELOPER” (LINK, pdf).

(* I don’t know anyone at the Boston Redevelopment Authority, but I’m sure they’re fine law-abiding folk who love their children…)

Let’s start with the endless laundry list of technolgies:

ArcSDE, ArcObjects, Python, SQL Server, ArcInfo, OGC protocols, markup languages (all of them, apparently), ArcXML, Flash, ASP, Flex, VB, XML, HTML, EDN, SQL Server 2008 R2, .NET, Apple iOS, Windows mobile, Computer-Aided Design, LIDAR, 3D Analyst, SketchUp, HTML5, CSS3, Financial Edge general ledger (??), AutoCAD Map 3D

With the exception of the unconscionable omissions of JavaBeans and ColdFusion, that pretty much covers every technology that’s floated through GIS departments since the dawn of the new millennium.  And for the technically savvy who are the presumed target of this job search, the juxtaposition of the latest-and-greatest with stuff that has long since been taken around back and put out of its misery provides both great unintentional comedy as well as proof-positive of a management team that Just Doesn’t Get It.

But let’s play along and assume the stringent standards indicate an aggressive shop pushing into the frontiers of mapping where mere mortals fear to tread.  Actually, no, not at all:

2005 wants its map interfaces back.

While all of this is snark-worthy, we haven’t even gotten to the troubling parts:

Develop applications, scripts, and automation routines utilizing ArcObjects and Python to enhance the use of GIS within operational business practices…
Assist in creating and maintaining interactive mapping servers within the BRA. Manage ArcSDE on SQL server.

OK, reasonable.

Collaborate with other City GIS experts to share data; work toward an inter-agency Enterprise GIS…
Assist City MIS in providing solutions (desktop and Web) to integrate GIS with other enterprise city applications…
Evaluate data warehousing options; recommend warehousing solution…

I’m starting to smell mission creep.

Assist Urban Design Technology Group…
Provide support for the agency websites, both current and the one soon to be developed…
Collaborate with the Computer Programming Manager…work on connecting existing agency databases to 3rd party applications such as Financial Edge general ledger, ABRA HR, and city GIS…

Uh, who the hell don’t I work for?

Perform other related duties as required.

Thank you sir, may I have another.

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Remember, this is Senior position.  Can you imagine a Senior Programmer, a Senior DBA, a Senior Graphic Designer, or a Senior Systems Administrator ever consenting to a job description that gives carte blanche to every middle manager with a crisis to come barging into their cube and demanding to have their problem solved?  Of course not.  But because of GIS’ rich history of consenting to be the IT department’s bastard step-child, even senior people with quality skill sets just end up being de facto errand boys for the parts of the org chart that don’t have trouble with self-assertion.

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Since we like to keep it positive around these parts, let’s look at a similar position recently posted by DTS Agile.  Unlike the folks mentioned earlier, DTS actually does cutting edge stuff and has a high profile in the industry.  Note that instead of trying to bust balls with the acronym laundry-list, they succinctly lay out the key components they work with and where they’re trying to go technology-wise.  Sprinkle in some philosophy about how they work, and you come away feeling the posting was written by actual human beings who gave it some thought.  But the innovative part is the assumption that experienced professionals respond best to big challenges and the collegiality of motivated colleagues.  A pretty novel approach where the typical career progression is merely an ever-lengthening list of responsibilities and the slow drowning in a sea of administrivia.

 

 

—Brian Timoney